Tokenomics

Tokenomics

CAREL token is the native token of CAREL Protocol. Total supply is hard-capped at 1,000,000,000 CAREL.

Note: Tokenomics are not live yet and subject to legal review before mainnet. Numbers and mechanisms may change. This page reflects the v6 economic design — production-ready, stress-tested, honest about trade-offs.

Token Allocation

CategoryAllocationTotalNotes
Ecosystem40%400MLinear 36 months, ~11.1M/month
Team15%150M12-month cliff, 36-month linear (ends month 48)
Investor15%150M12-month cliff, 24-month linear (ends month 36)
Treasury10%100MGovernance-controlled, multi-asset managed
Listing10%100MTGE — exchange listing and initial liquidity
Marketing7%70M3-month cliff, 6-month linear (ends month 9)
Liquidity3%30MTGE — protocol-owned liquidity seed

Total: 1,000,000,000 CAREL.

Vesting Schedule (v6)

The v6 redesign enforces alignment: Team always finishes vesting after Investor. Investor can exit earlier as a reward for taking early risk; Team commitment is longer because they retain operational control throughout.

CategoryCliffLinearEndsMonthly release
ListingTGEMonth 1
LiquidityTGEMonth 1
MarketingMonth 36 monthsMonth 9~11.7M
InvestorMonth 1224 monthsMonth 366.25M
TeamMonth 1236 monthsMonth 484.17M
Ecosystem36 monthsMonth 36~11.1M
TreasuryManagedVariable

v5 → v6 alignment fix: In v5, Team ended at month 36 and Investor ended at month 48 — Team had a 5-month window to sell before Investor could unlock. v6 reverses this. Investor ends month 36, Team ends month 48. Cliff dates are identical (month 12) for full market transparency.

3-Year Unlock Projection

YearCumulative unlockedRemaining locked
Year 1~437M CAREL~563M CAREL
Year 2~644M CAREL~356M CAREL
Year 3~816M CAREL~184M CAREL

Fee Model

CAREL Protocol collects fees through on-chain contracts. All fees flow through FeeCollectorTreasury.

Swap and Limit Order Fees

  • Protocol fee: 0.2% on swap and limit order executions — 100% USDC to dev/ops
  • Bridge fee: 0.4% — 100% USDC to dev/ops
  • LP fees are separate and flow to liquidity providers only
  • NFT discount applies to protocol fee only, not LP fees

Discount formula:

protocol_fee_after_discount = protocol_fee × (1 − discount_bps / 10,000)

AI Execution Fees — Hybrid v6 Model

v5 used a flat burn (5/10 CAREL). v6 replaces this with a 3-component hybrid that fixes the self-defeating loop: flat burn keeps deflation floors, USD-target keeps user costs stable, buyback-burn scales with adoption.

Component ① — Flat burn (guaranteed deflation floor)

LevelFlat burn
L2 (AI on-chain)2 CAREL → 100% burned
L3 (AI + Hide Mode)3 CAREL → 100% burned

Component ② — USD-target revenue (stable in USD)

LevelUSD targetCAREL amountRouting
L2$0.30Dynamic via TWAP oracle75% treasury, 25% buyback fund
L3$0.50Dynamic via TWAP oracle75% treasury, 25% buyback fund

Component ③ — Buyback-burn epoch (scales with adoption)

  • 25% of USD-target component accumulates weekly in buyback fund
  • Treasury buys CAREL from market, burns immediately
  • Burn pressure grows proportionally with AI transaction volume

User cost simulation (L2, 3 price scenarios):

CAREL priceFlat burnUSD-targetTotal user costBurn per tx
$0.10$0.20 (2 CAREL)$0.30 (3.0 CAREL)$0.50~2.75 CAREL
$0.50$1.00 (2 CAREL)$0.30 (0.6 CAREL)$1.30~2.15 CAREL
$1.00$2.00 (2 CAREL)$0.30 (0.3 CAREL)$2.30~2.075 CAREL

At low price: more CAREL burned per dollar (flywheel up). At high price: minimum 2 CAREL/tx guaranteed — deflation never collapses to zero. User cost in USD stays roughly stable regardless of CAREL price.

Seed phase note: During months 1–2 (before TWAP oracle is reliable), flat burn is set to 5 CAREL/tx. After TWAP oracle is live (~1 week post-TGE), hybrid fee activates and flat drops to 2/3 CAREL.

AI fee parameters are adjustable via governance after mainnet.

Airdrop Claim Fee (On-chain)

When claiming from SnapshotDistributor or AirdropVesting:

  • 5% claim fee applied on-chain automatically
  • Split: 2.5% burn + 1.25% treasury + 1.25% dev fund

Lock-Up Escrow (v6)

v5 bonus (2–5% nominal, 1–3 months) was an arbitrage loophole — investors could hedge via OTC and claim free yield. v6 replaces this with a real on-chain escrow contract (LockupEscrow) that eliminates the loophole.

OptionDurationAPRSourceEarly break penalty
StandardNone0%
Lock-up A6 months8% APRTreasury buyback fund5% of principal + forfeit all bonus
Lock-up B12 months12% APRTreasury buyback fund5% of principal + forfeit all bonus

Mechanics:

  • CAREL is locked in escrow SC — cannot transfer, swap, or use as derivative collateral
  • APR accrues linearly and can be claimed mid-period or at end
  • Bonus is paid from treasury buyback fund (USDC → market buy CAREL → pay bonus) — no new minting
  • Early unlock deducts 5% from principal (burned) and forfeits all accrued bonus

Game theory: v6 lock-up requires a real commitment. Investors who choose lock-up are genuinely bullish — no free arbitrage. Expected opt-in: 20–35% (vs 70–80% in v5 where it was a loophole). Smaller but real.

Airdrop Recipient Vesting (v6)

v5 had instant airdrop claims — 95% of recipients sold within 7 days, making the ecosystem fund the largest sell-pressure source. v6 adds on-chain recipient vesting via AirdropVesting contract to spread the impact.

Claim amountVestingNotes
< 1,000 CAREL/monthInstantSmall user friendly — no friction
1,000–10,000 CAREL/month7-day linearSlow farmer protection
10,000–50,000 CAREL/month30-day linearMedium whale gate
> 50,000 CAREL/month90-day linearLarge claims must commit
Staker bypassInstantUsers staked ≥ 30 days get instant claim regardless of tier

Economic effect: Effective sell pressure from ecosystem fund drops from ~7.7M/month (v5) to ~4–5M/month (v6) — a 35% reduction via vesting spread.

Monthly ecosystem stats at 11.1M/month:

  • Burn fee 2.5%: ~277K CAREL burned per month
  • Effective sell pressure post-vesting: ~4–5M CAREL/month (down from 7.7M)

Merkle root per epoch is set by admin (set_epoch_root). Proof is verified on-chain using Pedersen hash before any release.

Treasury Multi-Asset Strategy (v6)

v5 treasury was 95%+ CAREL — denomination risk. If CAREL price drops 50%, treasury value drops 50% but dev/ops costs in USD stay constant, forcing 2× faster drain. v6 fixes this.

Target treasury allocation (rebalanced per epoch):

AssetTargetPurpose
USDC / stablecoin35%Dev/ops payroll, audit, infrastructure, marketing — hedge against CAREL price
CAREL35%Buyback-burn, NFT discount fund, staker rewards
ETH / BTC reserve20%Long-term reserve, value preservation, low correlation to CAREL
LP positions (CAREL/USDC, CAREL/ETH)10%Earn fees from protocol volume, deepen own liquidity

Auto-convert rule (smart contract level):

  • Every 5,000+ CAREL inflow to treasury triggers automatic 35% → USDC swap via DEX
  • Max 2% slippage guard — transaction aborts if exceeded
  • Weekly batch fallback if inflow threshold not reached
  • Quarterly governance review for target allocation adjustments

Result: Treasury has 18+ months operational runway even if CAREL drops 80%.

USD-denominated circuit breakers:

Treasury USD valueBurn policy
> $4M USD equivalent25% burn — aggressive
$2M–$4M USD equivalent15% burn — normal
$800K–$2M USD equivalent5% burn — conservative
< $800K USD equivalentBurn paused + emergency mode

Thresholds are USD-denominated (not CAREL-amount) to prevent false signals from price drops.

Burn Architecture — Honest Numbers

v5 claimed ~4.8M CAREL burned/month at 10K AI tx/day. v6 recalculates with the hybrid model:

AI tx/dayFlat burn/monthBuyback burn (at $0.20)Claim fee burnTotal burn/month
50030K~56K~277K~363K
2,000120K~225K~277K~622K
5,000300K~562K~277K~1.14M
10,000600K~1.13M~277K~2.0M
25,0001.5M~2.81M~277K~4.6M

Assumptions: 70% L2, 30% L3, CAREL price $0.20.

v5 claimed 4.5M/month at 10K tx/day (100% flat model). v6 honest number: 2.0M/month at same conditions — lower, but correct.

Sell Pressure — Honest Math

v5 only counted investor sell pressure. v6 accounts for all four sources:

SourceUnlock/monthEst. % soldEffective sell pressure/month
Investor (50% monthly cap)6.25M50%3.13M
Team (50% monthly cap)4.17M40%1.67M
Ecosystem (airdrop to users)11.1M~45% (post-vesting)5.0M
Marketing tail~2M30%0.6M
Lock-up bonus claimers~0.5MVariable0.2M
Total realistic~10.6M/month

Optimistic scenario (high commit rate, popular lock-up): ~7M/month. Pessimistic (panic sell): ~14M/month.

Break-even for net deflation (AI burn + treasury epoch burn combined):

  • 10K AI tx/day → ~2M AI burn + ~1M epoch = ~3M total = covers 28%
  • 25K AI tx/day → ~4.6M AI burn + ~1.5M epoch = ~6.1M total = covers 58%
  • 50K AI tx/day → ~9M AI burn + ~2M epoch = ~11M total = covers 100%+ (net deflationary)

Honest conclusion: Net deflationary requires 25K–50K AI tx/day — not 10K like v5 claimed. At medium adoption (5–10K tx/day), supply grows slightly. This is fine — the protocol can succeed without being always-deflationary. What matters is real utility and revenue, not a burn narrative that collapses under stress.

Stress Test Matrix — Solvency 4×4

Published pre-mainnet as a transparency commitment. This matrix answers: at which adoption × price combinations is CAREL solvent at month 18 (worst-case post-cliff window)?

Adoption ↓ / Price →$0.05$0.20$0.50$1.00
500 tx/dayFAILSTRESSMARGINALMARGINAL
2K tx/daySTRESSMARGINALOKOK
5K tx/dayMARGINALOKHEALTHYHEALTHY
10K+ tx/dayOKHEALTHYHEALTHYHEALTHY

Definitions:

  • HEALTHY — burn > sell pressure 1.5×
  • OK — burn covers sell pressure (ratio > 1.0)
  • MARGINAL — treasury runway 12+ months but burn < sell pressure
  • STRESS — circuit breaker active > 50% of time
  • FAIL — treasury depleted before month 24

v5 did not publish this matrix. v6 publishes it before mainnet — investors and users can see exactly which scenarios the system handles and which require fallback execution.

Emergency response by quadrant:

  • FAIL — pivot strategy, bootstrap fund + emergency campaign
  • STRESS — activate all fallbacks: bootstrap fund + emergency campaign + aggressive B2B push
  • MARGINAL — sustainable short-term, must exit to OK within 6 months
  • OK / HEALTHY — system working as designed, focus on growth

Points System

Points are earned for every on-chain action and tracked by the backend. Epoch totals are submitted on-chain via PointStorage and converted to CAREL at distribution.

Base Rates

ActionPoints per USD
Swap10 pts
Limit Order12 pts
ETH Bridge15 pts
BTC / WBTC Bridge25 pts
Stake3 pts

Multipliers

Staked AmountCAREL multiplier
≥ 100 CAREL
≥ 1,000 CAREL
≥ 10,000 CAREL
WBTC1.5×
LP tokens
USDT / USDC / STRK

AI Bonus (runtime only)

LevelPoints bonus
L2+20%
L3+40%

Hide Mode Bonus (by transaction size)

Hide volume (USDT-equivalent)Bonus
≥ 5+5%
≥ 10+10%
≥ 50+20%
≥ 100+30%
≥ 250+50%

Points Formula

total_points = (swap + bridge + stake + referral + social) × staking_multiplier × nft_factor

NFT discount soulbound holders get additional fee discounts applied at the protocol fee layer.

Monthly Airdrop Distribution

Each month, the backend finalizes point totals, generates a Merkle tree, and submits the root on-chain. Users claim proportionally:

reward = monthly_pool × user_points / total_points_epoch

Testnet uses a fixed 3% pool — claims transfer from this pool (no minting inside claim).

Mainnet: 40% ecosystem pool over 36 months (~11.1M CAREL/month). Recipient vesting applies at claim time via AirdropVesting contract (see Airdrop Recipient Vesting section above).

NFT Tiers

Five soulbound NFT tiers paid with points from PointStorage, providing fee discounts on protocol actions.

TierNamePoints costDiscountMax usesEffective claim fee
1BronzeFree (min 1 tx)5%54.75%
2Silver15,000 pts + 10 CAREL10%74.50%
3Gold50,000 pts + 20 CAREL25%103.75%
4Platinum150,000 pts + 35 CAREL35%153.25%
5Onyx500,000 pts + 50 CAREL50%202.50%

Discount applies to: swap fee (0.2%), bridge fee (0.4%), AI execution fee, and airdrop claim fee. Effective claim fee = 5% × (1 − NFT discount%). The discount subsidy (fee shortfall) is covered by the treasury discount fund — protocol revenue is never reduced.

CAREL paid for NFT upgrades: 50% buyback-burned, 50% treasury reserve.

External Revenue Anchors

The protocol is designed to avoid full circular dependency (burn needs volume → volume needs users → users need price incentive → price needs burn). External revenue sources break this loop:

SourceDescriptionTarget active
B2B API AccessOther protocols pay CAREL to use the AI execution layerMonth 6+
Treasury yield35% USDC allocation deployed to zkLend/Nostra at 4–6% APROngoing
Cross-chain fee sharingRevenue from external bridge traffic routed through the protocolGrowth phase

Estimated contribution: 200–500K CAREL/month equivalent in stable revenue without depending on internal volume. This gives the protocol a revenue floor even if on-chain AI transaction volume is below breakeven.

Health Monitoring Thresholds

Key indicators tracked to detect system stress early:

IndicatorGreenAmber (action needed)Red (circuit breaker)
Burn:unlock ratio/month> 1.0 (by month 18)0.5–1.0< 0.5 for 3 consecutive months
NFT Silver+ % of users> 15% at month 610–15%< 10%
AI tx/day> 10,0005,000–10,000< 1,000 at month 12
Treasury USD value> $1.5M at month 12$800K–$1.5M< $800K
Unclaimed airdrop %< 30%30–50%> 50% (engagement signal)
Investor/team sell volume< 1M/day post-cliff1–2M/day> 2M/day

Amber response: activate bootstrap fund + 2× points event + aggressive B2B push.
Red response: governance review mandatory + circuit breaker parameters reviewed.

Governance

Fee parameters, burn splits, and distribution schedules are adjustable via on-chain governance (Governance + Timelock) after mainnet. Timelock enforces a minimum 48-hour delay on all parameter changes. Treasury allocation targets require governance vote for adjustments > 5%.